cbb·system

Portland State @ Cal Poly

2022-12-11 season 2023 regular final

Result

49 – 72

Home team is the second-named side; the score reads away–home.

What the model knew

Versionwalkforward-v4-mens-min5
Train cutoff2022-12-10 02:00
Predicted at2022-12-10 11:00
Tip-off2022-12-11 03:00
Model spread-1.27 ± 12.47
Model total148.05 ± 14.74
P(home win)45.9%
Residual24.27 (actual − model)

The cutoff precedes the prediction, which precedes tip-off — the DB-enforced no-leak ordering (train_cutoff_at ≤ made_at < commence_time).

Lines & edges

No pregame line is stored for this game, though the store holds 42 lines for other games. Lines are ingested per game as the feed polls, so an unplayed or unpolled game simply has none.