cbb·system

Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State

2023-03-02 season 2023 regular final

Result

64 – 81

Home team is the second-named side; the score reads away–home.

What the model knew

Versionwalkforward-v4-mens-min5
Train cutoff2023-03-01 04:00
Predicted at2023-03-01 11:00
Tip-off2023-03-02 02:00
Model spread12.63 ± 11.73
Model total141.84 ± 15.21
P(home win)85.9%
Residual4.37 (actual − model)

The cutoff precedes the prediction, which precedes tip-off — the DB-enforced no-leak ordering (train_cutoff_at ≤ made_at < commence_time).

Lines & edges

No pregame line is stored for this game, though the store holds 42 lines for other games. Lines are ingested per game as the feed polls, so an unplayed or unpolled game simply has none.