cbb·system

Illinois Fighting Illini

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.37 possessions per game 4.94

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Illinois AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.32 to 1.76 over 74 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191020 0.333

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIllinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-06 2019 Illinois @ Purdue N 60–72 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 Illinois @ Maryland 62–71 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Penn State @ Illinois 76–65 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Illinois @ Wisconsin 67–75 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Michigan @ Illinois 70–56 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Illinois @ Iowa 66–88 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Wisconsin @ Illinois 68–78 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Illinois @ Purdue 50–72 regular
2019-02-05 2019 Maryland @ Illinois 80–66 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Illinois @ Ohio State 70–78 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Northwestern @ Illinois 64–56 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Illinois @ Michigan State 60–77 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Iowa @ Illinois 94–75 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Nebraska @ Illinois 77–67 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Illinois @ Penn State 48–62 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Rutgers @ Illinois 71–60 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Illinois @ Minnesota 66–62 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Illinois @ Northwestern 45–68 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Indiana @ Illinois 85–83 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Missouri @ Illinois 67–45 regular
2018-12-16 2019 SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois 57–74 regular
2018-12-12 2019 Murray State @ Illinois 52–84 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Indiana State @ Illinois 57–75 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Eastern Michigan @ Illinois 66–72 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Illinois @ Clemson 67–69 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Sacramento State @ Illinois N 109–107 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Illinois @ Cal Poly 74–51 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Columbia @ Illinois 69–76 regular
2018-11-15 2019 Valparaiso @ Illinois 54–73 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Alabama A&M @ Illinois 60–88 regular