cbb·system

Illinois Fighting Illini

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.75 possessions per game 4.97

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Illinois AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.67 to 1.19 over 81 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018922 0.290

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIllinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-02-28 2018 Illinois @ Penn State N 57–83 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Minnesota @ Illinois 84–75 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Illinois @ Purdue 51–64 regular
2018-02-18 2018 Illinois @ Northwestern 61–68 regular
2018-02-14 2018 Ohio State @ Illinois 88–69 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Illinois @ Indiana 54–70 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Purdue @ Illinois 73–54 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Illinois @ Nebraska 47–62 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Wisconsin @ Illinois 70–61 regular
2018-01-24 2018 Illinois @ Penn State 59–68 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Illinois @ Michigan 42–86 regular
2018-01-17 2018 Michigan State @ Illinois 67–55 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Nebraska @ Illinois 80–72 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Iowa @ Illinois 84–71 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Illinois @ Rutgers 37–76 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Northwestern @ Illinois 74–59 regular
2017-12-28 2018 Illinois @ Maryland 65–100 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Illinois @ Missouri 55–72 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Austin Peay @ Illinois 47–59 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Detroit Mercy @ Illinois 65–73 regular
2017-12-08 2018 Indiana State @ Illinois 52–81 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Illinois @ Memphis 63–47 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Virginia Tech @ Illinois 96–49 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Illinois @ New Mexico 68–97 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Wichita State @ Illinois N 67–68 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Illinois @ UC Irvine N 65–59 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Western Illinois @ Illinois 77–67 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Bradley @ Illinois 62–74 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Chicago State @ Illinois 56–66 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Illinois @ Florida Gulf Coast 61–85 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Illinois 50–64 regular