Illinois Fighting Illini
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Play-in (out) 2023
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.89 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.24 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.72 | possessions per game | 4.73 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-02 19:30),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.87 to 1.42 over
125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | 10 | 0.688 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-15 | 2023 | Mississippi State @ Illinois N | 70–56 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | Illinois @ Maryland N | 58–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-03 | 2023 | Rutgers @ Illinois N | 55–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-02-26 | 2023 | Illinois @ Rutgers | 75–53 | regular |
| 2023-02-23 | 2023 | Nebraska @ Illinois | 90–57 | regular |
| 2023-02-19 | 2023 | Penn State @ Illinois | 62–85 | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Illinois @ Maryland | 71–82 | regular |
| 2023-02-10 | 2023 | Illinois @ Nebraska | 72–64 | regular |
| 2023-02-05 | 2023 | Minnesota @ Illinois | 62–69 | regular |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023 | Illinois @ Michigan | 57–74 | regular |
| 2023-01-29 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Illinois | 76–86 | regular |
| 2023-01-27 | 2023 | Purdue @ Illinois | 62–52 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 67–64 | regular |
| 2023-01-19 | 2023 | Indiana @ Illinois | 83–72 | regular |
| 2023-01-15 | 2023 | Illinois @ Minnesota | 70–57 | regular |
| 2023-01-08 | 2023 | Illinois @ Ohio State | 81–87 | regular |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 79–85 | regular |
| 2023-01-01 | 2023 | Iowa @ Illinois | 86–90 | regular |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023 | Illinois @ Wisconsin | 79–63 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Florida Atlantic @ Illinois | 46–81 | regular |
| 2022-12-18 | 2023 | Illinois @ Missouri | 76–66 | regular |
| 2022-12-11 | 2023 | Illinois @ Butler | 65–63 | regular |
| 2022-12-08 | 2023 | Rutgers @ Illinois | 62–80 | regular |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Illinois @ Indiana | 61–65 | regular |
| 2022-11-30 | 2023 | Illinois @ Pittsburgh | 92–71 | regular |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | Illinois @ Delaware N | 80–83 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | Illinois @ Charlotte N | 70–43 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | Oakland @ Illinois | 55–84 | regular |
| 2022-11-19 | 2023 | Evansville @ Illinois | 54–93 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | McNeese @ Illinois | 38–100 | regular |
| 2022-11-13 | 2023 | Alcorn State @ Illinois | 59–90 | regular |
| 2022-11-10 | 2023 | Long Island University @ Illinois | 40–75 | regular |