cbb·system

Illinois Fighting Illini

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.32 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.41 possessions per game 4.65

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Illinois AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.79 to 1.45 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20262212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIllinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-23 2026 Illinois @ Vanderbilt 57–75 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-22 2026 Colorado @ Illinois N 57–66 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Illinois @ Iowa N 58–64 conf_tournament
2026-03-05 2026 Illinois @ Michigan State N 71–69 conf_tournament
2026-03-04 2026 Wisconsin @ Illinois N 70–82 conf_tournament
2026-03-01 2026 Minnesota @ Illinois 78–73 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Illinois @ Iowa 78–82 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Illinois @ Northwestern 92–65 regular
2026-02-18 2026 Rutgers @ Illinois 56–76 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Wisconsin @ Illinois 60–92 regular
2026-02-08 2026 USC @ Illinois 70–62 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Illinois @ Oregon 73–76 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Illinois @ Washington 75–66 regular
2026-01-29 2026 UCLA @ Illinois 80–67 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Illinois @ Nebraska 75–81 regular
2026-01-18 2026 Northwestern @ Illinois 71–74 regular
2026-01-16 2026 Illinois @ Michigan 69–85 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Illinois @ Penn State 92–76 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Ohio State @ Illinois 78–69 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Illinois @ Michigan State 75–81 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Maryland @ Illinois 70–73 regular
2025-12-28 2026 Illinois @ Purdue 83–73 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Jackson State @ Illinois 43–86 regular
2025-12-14 2026 North Texas @ Illinois 69–81 regular
2025-12-11 2026 Illinois @ Missouri 70–62 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Indiana @ Illinois 57–78 regular
2025-12-03 2026 Bellarmine @ Illinois 41–90 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Le Moyne @ Illinois 28–100 regular
2025-11-27 2026 Western Kentucky @ Illinois 41–70 regular
2025-11-23 2026 Illinois @ Florida State 86–63 regular
2025-11-18 2026 Murray State @ Illinois 64–84 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Illinois @ Oregon State 59–64 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Illinois State @ Illinois 65–75 regular
2025-11-05 2026 Southeast Missouri State @ Illinois 67–91 regular