Illinois Fighting Illini
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.92 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.84 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.07 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 70.88 | possessions per game | 4.93 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 26 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 61.02 to 148.81 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 18 | 0.217 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Illinois | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Illinois @ Northwestern N | 42–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-09 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Illinois N | 42–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Minnesota @ Illinois | 64–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Illinois @ Purdue | 66–70 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Illinois | 67–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Illinois @ Rutgers | 46–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Illinois @ Maryland | 58–103 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Indiana @ Illinois | 58–50 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Illinois @ Minnesota | 73–83 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Purdue @ Illinois | 49–54 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 60–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Illinois @ Wisconsin | 57–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Penn State @ Illinois | 80–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-26 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Illinois | 57–53 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Illinois @ Northwestern | 54–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Illinois | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan | 50–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Illinois | 78–55 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Iowa @ Illinois | 107–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Illinois @ Indiana | 56–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Michigan @ Illinois | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-11 | 2021 | Illinois @ Nebraska | 72–78 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Omaha @ Illinois | 50–53 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois | 62–59 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Illinois | 49–68 | regular |