cbb·system

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

mens NEC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.36 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 24 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Connecticut AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.27 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021516 0.238

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCentral Connecticut auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-02-26 2021 Wagner @ Central Connecticut 77–83 regular
2021-02-26 2021 Wagner @ Central Connecticut 83–63 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Central Connecticut @ Long Island University 79–81 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Central Connecticut @ Long Island University 74–87 regular
2021-02-17 2021 Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut 82–70 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Merrimack @ Central Connecticut 72–52 regular
2021-02-12 2021 Merrimack @ Central Connecticut 62–46 regular
2021-02-05 2021 Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut scheduled regular
2021-01-31 2021 Central Connecticut @ St. Francis (PA) 85–77 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Central Connecticut @ St. Francis (PA) 59–62 regular
2021-01-22 2021 Mount St. Mary's @ Central Connecticut 64–65 regular
2021-01-22 2021 Mount St. Mary's @ Central Connecticut 67–57 regular
2021-01-15 2021 Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart 48–65 regular
2021-01-08 2021 Central Connecticut @ Bryant 64–76 regular
2021-01-07 2021 Central Connecticut @ Bryant 68–93 regular
2020-12-22 2021 Central Connecticut @ Binghamton canceled regular
2020-12-19 2021 Central Connecticut @ Fordham canceled regular
2020-12-16 2021 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Central Connecticut 59–78 regular
2020-12-15 2021 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Central Connecticut 91–86 regular
2020-12-09 2021 Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson 71–79 regular
2020-12-09 2021 Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson 94–87 regular
2020-12-04 2021 Central Connecticut @ Hartford 65–80 regular
2020-11-27 2021 Army @ Central Connecticut N 79–57 regular
2020-11-26 2021 Central Connecticut @ UConn 75–102 regular