cbb·system

Western Carolina Catamounts

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.11 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.16 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Carolina AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 59.03 to 79.72 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221121 0.344

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdWestern Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-05 2022 Western Carolina @ Mercer N 53–81 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 VMI @ Western Carolina 73–82 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro 64–73 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Mercer @ Western Carolina 65–69 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Furman @ Western Carolina 103–85 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Western Carolina @ Wofford 57–69 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 47–65 regular
2022-02-08 2022 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina 68–49 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Western Carolina @ VMI 69–76 regular
2022-02-03 2022 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 84–87 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Samford @ Western Carolina 74–64 regular
2022-01-27 2022 Western Carolina @ The Citadel 66–68 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Western Carolina @ Mercer 64–72 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Western Carolina @ Furman 50–88 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Wofford @ Western Carolina 84–64 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 59–70 regular
2022-01-11 2022 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 69–87 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Western Carolina @ Samford 60–85 regular
2022-01-06 2022 The Citadel @ Western Carolina 90–94 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State scheduled regular
2021-12-30 2022 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina scheduled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Western Carolina @ Charlotte 82–98 regular
2021-12-21 2022 Western Carolina @ Georgia 79–85 regular
2021-12-11 2022 UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina 73–72 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Tennessee Tech @ Western Carolina 69–74 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate 78–73 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Warren Wilson @ Western Carolina 47–102 non_d1
2021-11-27 2022 Western Carolina @ Gardner-Webb 59–87 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Western Carolina @ Longwood 64–53 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Western Carolina @ American University N 80–79 regular
2021-11-20 2022 UMBC @ Western Carolina N 91–75 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Western Carolina @ East Carolina 79–95 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Western Carolina @ Wake Forest 75–87 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Bowling Green @ Western Carolina 71–79 regular