cbb·system

Western Carolina Catamounts

mens SoCon canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.80 possessions per game 4.28

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Carolina AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 58.12 to 79.72 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231816 0.529

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdWestern Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Charlotte @ Western Carolina N 65–56 other_postseason
2023-03-05 2023 Western Carolina @ Furman N 80–83 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina N 57–69 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 VMI @ Western Carolina 66–85 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro 52–71 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Western Carolina @ Mercer 71–68 regular
2023-02-16 2023 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 66–68 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Western Carolina @ Furman 59–93 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Western Carolina @ Wofford 95–91 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 68–83 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Samford @ Western Carolina 85–77 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Western Carolina @ VMI 71–65 regular
2023-01-26 2023 The Citadel @ Western Carolina 81–70 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Western Carolina @ Samford 65–74 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Wofford @ Western Carolina 71–76 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Western Carolina @ The Citadel 61–65 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 76–95 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Mercer @ Western Carolina 45–73 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 71–60 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Furman @ Western Carolina 67–79 regular
2022-12-29 2023 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina 72–47 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Toccoa Falls @ Western Carolina 50–117 non_d1
2022-12-17 2023 Western Carolina @ Tennessee Tech 75–65 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Brevard @ Western Carolina 55–99 non_d1
2022-12-08 2023 Western Carolina @ Davidson 64–72 regular
2022-12-03 2023 South Carolina Upstate @ Western Carolina 79–64 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Gardner-Webb @ Western Carolina 71–55 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville 61–73 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Lindenwood @ Western Carolina N 88–90 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Western Carolina @ Lamar N 98–91 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Western Carolina @ McNeese 88–69 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Brescia @ Western Carolina 45–112 non_d1
2022-11-11 2023 Western Carolina @ Maryland 51–71 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Western Carolina @ Georgia 55–68 regular