cbb·system

East Tennessee State Bucs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.16
PACE 71.20 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

East Tennessee State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.23 over 109 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014921 0.300

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbEast Tennessee State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-11 2014 East Tennessee State @ South Carolina Upstate 66–76 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 East Tennessee State @ Northern Kentucky 50–58 regular
2014-03-07 2014 East Tennessee State @ Lipscomb 74–76 regular
2014-03-02 2014 North Florida @ East Tennessee State 41–76 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Jacksonville @ East Tennessee State 62–57 regular
2014-02-22 2014 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 50–80 regular
2014-02-21 2014 East Tennessee State @ Kennesaw State 63–60 regular
2014-02-15 2014 East Tennessee State @ South Carolina Upstate 60–69 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Stetson @ East Tennessee State 80–55 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Florida Gulf Coast @ East Tennessee State 70–45 regular
2014-02-01 2014 East Tennessee State @ North Florida 72–57 regular
2014-01-30 2014 East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville 56–73 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 57–52 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Kennesaw State @ East Tennessee State 68–74 regular
2014-01-19 2014 South Carolina Upstate @ East Tennessee State 63–62 regular
2014-01-11 2014 East Tennessee State @ Stetson 62–91 regular
2014-01-10 2014 East Tennessee State @ Florida Gulf Coast 58–73 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Northern Kentucky @ East Tennessee State 73–63 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Lipscomb @ East Tennessee State 75–78 regular
2013-12-28 2014 George Mason @ East Tennessee State 76–87 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State 70–61 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Indiana State @ East Tennessee State 67–75 regular
2013-12-15 2014 East Tennessee State @ Kentucky 56–73 regular
2013-12-04 2014 East Tennessee State @ Vanderbilt 71–92 regular
2013-12-01 2014 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 56–58 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Alabama A&M @ East Tennessee State 65–82 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Saint Francis @ East Tennessee State 92–79 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Morehead State @ East Tennessee State 77–69 regular
2013-11-12 2014 East Tennessee State @ App State 81–72 regular
2013-11-08 2014 East Tennessee State @ Memphis 74–77 regular