cbb·system

East Tennessee State Bucs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.17 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

East Tennessee State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.53 to 1.13 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020921 0.300

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbEast Tennessee State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-05 2020 East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro N 47–57 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga 65–69 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 54–56 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Samford @ East Tennessee State 76–60 regular
2020-02-15 2020 East Tennessee State @ Furman 47–67 regular
2020-02-14 2020 East Tennessee State @ Wofford 62–86 regular
2020-02-08 2020 UNC Greensboro @ East Tennessee State 65–45 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 49–76 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State 91–82 regular
2020-01-25 2020 East Tennessee State @ Samford 34–68 regular
2020-01-24 2020 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 72–66 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Wofford @ East Tennessee State 76–47 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Furman @ East Tennessee State 81–62 regular
2020-01-11 2020 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 62–57 regular
2020-01-10 2020 East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro 47–63 regular
2020-01-04 2020 East Tennessee State @ Cornell 43–71 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Converse @ East Tennessee State 35–73 non_d1
2019-12-21 2020 South Alabama @ East Tennessee State 60–65 regular
2019-12-15 2020 East Tennessee State @ Georgia Tech 48–87 regular
2019-12-11 2020 East Tennessee State @ Troy 61–79 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Cleveland State @ East Tennessee State 62–54 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Wake Forest @ East Tennessee State 60–67 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Davidson @ East Tennessee State 75–60 regular
2019-11-25 2020 East Tennessee State @ App State 67–61 regular
2019-11-24 2020 UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State 72–54 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Radford @ East Tennessee State 67–43 regular
2019-11-18 2020 East Tennessee State @ North Carolina A&T 69–80 regular
2019-11-15 2020 East Tennessee State @ High Point 62–80 regular
2019-11-08 2020 East Tennessee State @ Liberty 63–62 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Tennessee @ East Tennessee State 72–68 regular