cbb·system

Marshall Thundering Herd

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.40 possessions per game 4.78

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Marshall AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.21 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231714 0.548

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMarshall auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 Marshall @ James Madison N 43–62 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Coastal Carolina @ Marshall N 53–60 conf_tournament
2023-02-24 2023 Marshall @ James Madison 71–58 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Old Dominion @ Marshall 66–63 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Marshall @ Georgia State 54–55 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Marshall @ Georgia Southern 61–63 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Texas State @ Marshall 64–60 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Coastal Carolina @ Marshall 60–65 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Georgia State @ Marshall 45–50 regular
2023-02-02 2023 App State @ Marshall 64–72 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Marshall @ Arkansas State 71–59 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Marshall @ UL Monroe 61–59 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Southern Miss @ Marshall 52–53 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Troy @ Marshall 87–77 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Marshall @ Old Dominion 56–63 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Marshall @ Coastal Carolina 61–65 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Georgia Southern @ Marshall 83–80 regular
2023-01-05 2023 James Madison @ Marshall 74–67 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Marshall @ App State 59–52 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Marshall @ South Alabama 63–61 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Chattanooga @ Marshall 56–60 regular
2022-12-18 2023 St. Bonaventure @ Marshall 53–61 regular
2022-12-14 2023 Marshall @ South Florida 68–77 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Wright State @ Marshall 47–72 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Davis & Elkins @ Marshall 43–104 non_d1
2022-11-27 2023 Duquesne @ Marshall 77–72 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Norfolk State @ Marshall N 48–43 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Marshall N 39–45 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Marshall @ UT Martin N 70–57 regular
2022-11-15 2023 West Virginia Wesleyan @ Marshall 39–72 non_d1
2022-11-10 2023 Marshall @ Purdue 61–73 regular