cbb·system

Marshall Thundering Herd

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.42 possessions per game 4.87

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Marshall AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.24 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251520 0.429

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMarshall auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Marshall @ Troy N 54–85 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Marshall @ App State N 75–66 conf_tournament
2025-03-06 2025 Marshall @ Louisiana N 48–46 conf_tournament
2025-03-05 2025 Marshall @ Texas State N 68–62 conf_tournament
2025-03-04 2025 South Alabama @ Marshall N 59–73 conf_tournament
2025-02-28 2025 Georgia State @ Marshall 70–68 regular
2025-02-26 2025 UL Monroe @ Marshall 65–73 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Marshall @ Georgia State 70–59 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Marshall @ App State 76–58 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Coastal Carolina @ Marshall 66–57 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Old Dominion @ Marshall 70–73 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Central Michigan @ Marshall 73–68 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Marshall @ Louisiana 88–92 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Marshall @ Georgia Southern 71–65 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Marshall @ Coastal Carolina 64–76 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Southern Miss @ Marshall 54–48 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Georgia Southern @ Marshall 60–67 regular
2025-01-18 2025 App State @ Marshall 68–64 regular
2025-01-15 2025 James Madison @ Marshall 93–65 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Marshall @ Old Dominion 75–80 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Marshall @ James Madison 59–71 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Marshall @ Troy 69–80 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Marshall @ Arkansas State 56–66 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Texas State @ Marshall 60–49 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Davis & Elkins @ Marshall 38–77 non_d1
2024-12-18 2025 Marshall @ Cincinnati 64–67 regular
2024-12-13 2025 Jacksonville @ Marshall 76–78 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Marshall @ Florida 63–82 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Salem University @ Marshall 41–98 non_d1
2024-11-23 2025 Tulsa @ Marshall N 80–84 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Marshall @ Penn State N 59–74 regular
2024-11-17 2025 George Mason @ Marshall 69–56 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Elon @ Marshall 56–65 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Northern Kentucky @ Marshall 80–78 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Marshall @ Toledo 68–71 regular