cbb·system

Marshall Thundering Herd

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.22 possessions per game 4.91

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Marshall AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 56.49 to 78.49 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018920 0.310

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMarshall auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-01 2018 Florida Atlantic @ Marshall 62–55 regular
2018-02-25 2018 Marshall @ North Texas 62–54 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Marshall @ Rice 44–87 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Marshall @ Western Kentucky 50–77 regular
2018-02-15 2018 UTEP @ Marshall 64–66 regular
2018-02-10 2018 UAB @ Marshall 69–62 regular
2018-02-08 2018 UTSA @ Marshall 72–59 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Marshall @ Southern Miss 61–70 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Marshall @ Charlotte 61–67 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Florida International @ Marshall 75–78 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 73–57 regular
2018-01-21 2018 Western Kentucky @ Marshall 86–66 regular
2018-01-19 2018 Marshall @ Old Dominion 53–69 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Louisiana Tech @ Marshall 74–65 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Marshall @ Florida International 54–67 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Marshall @ Florida Atlantic 59–79 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Alice Lloyd @ Marshall 46–96 non_d1
2017-12-22 2018 Marshall @ Tennessee State 71–65 regular
2017-12-18 2018 Kentucky Christian @ Marshall 38–111 non_d1
2017-12-16 2018 App State @ Marshall 56–54 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Marshall @ Florida 69–74 regular
2017-12-06 2018 Morgan State @ Marshall 68–73 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Southern Illinois @ Marshall 64–59 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Winthrop @ Marshall 40–70 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Marshall @ Kentucky 39–69 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Ohio @ Marshall 54–52 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Marshall @ Cleveland State 76–85 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Penn State @ Marshall 80–65 regular
2017-11-10 2018 Longwood @ Marshall 45–90 regular