cbb·system

Penn State Nittany Lions

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 61.91 possessions per game 4.74

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.27 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-12 2022 Penn State @ Purdue N 61–69 conf_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 Penn State @ Ohio State N 71–68 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Minnesota @ Penn State N 51–60 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Penn State @ Rutgers 58–59 regular
2022-03-04 2022 Penn State @ Illinois 55–60 regular
2022-02-28 2022 Nebraska @ Penn State 93–70 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Northwestern @ Penn State 60–67 regular
2022-02-22 2022 Penn State @ Maryland 61–67 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Minnesota @ Penn State 46–67 regular
2022-02-15 2022 Michigan State @ Penn State 58–62 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Penn State @ Minnesota 70–76 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Michigan @ Penn State 58–57 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Penn State @ Wisconsin 49–51 regular
2022-02-01 2022 Iowa @ Penn State 86–90 regular
2022-01-27 2022 Penn State @ Indiana 57–74 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Penn State @ Iowa 51–68 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Minnesota @ Penn State scheduled regular
2022-01-16 2022 Penn State @ Ohio State 56–61 regular
2022-01-11 2022 Rutgers @ Penn State 49–66 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Purdue @ Penn State 74–67 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Penn State @ Northwestern 74–70 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Indiana @ Penn State 58–61 regular
2021-12-29 2022 Delaware State @ Penn State canceled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Quinnipiac @ Penn State canceled regular
2021-12-18 2022 Penn State @ VCU canceled regular
2021-12-11 2022 Penn State @ Michigan State 64–80 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Wagner @ Penn State 54–74 regular
2021-12-06 2022 Ohio State @ Penn State 76–64 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Miami @ Penn State 63–58 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Penn State @ Oregon State N 60–45 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Penn State @ LSU N 63–68 regular
2021-11-22 2022 Cornell @ Penn State 74–85 regular
2021-11-19 2022 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Penn State 59–74 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Penn State @ Massachusetts 56–81 regular
2021-11-11 2022 Youngstown State @ Penn State 59–75 regular