cbb·system

Penn State Nittany Lions

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.17 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.74 possessions per game 4.25

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.31 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251615 0.516

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Penn State @ Wisconsin 86–75 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Maryland @ Penn State 68–64 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Penn State @ Indiana 78–83 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Penn State @ Minnesota 69–60 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Nebraska @ Penn State 72–89 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Washington @ Penn State 75–73 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Penn State @ USC 67–92 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Penn State @ UCLA 54–78 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Minnesota @ Penn State 69–61 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Ohio State @ Penn State 83–64 regular
2025-01-27 2025 Penn State @ Michigan 72–76 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Penn State @ Iowa 75–76 regular
2025-01-20 2025 Rutgers @ Penn State 72–80 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Penn State @ Michigan State 85–90 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Oregon @ Penn State 82–81 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Penn State @ Illinois 52–91 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Indiana @ Penn State 77–71 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Northwestern @ Penn State 80–84 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Pennsylvania @ Penn State 66–86 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Penn State @ Drexel 75–64 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Coppin State @ Penn State 51–99 regular
2024-12-11 2025 Penn State @ Rutgers 76–80 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Purdue @ Penn State 70–81 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Buffalo @ Penn State 64–87 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Clemson @ Penn State N 75–67 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Penn State @ Fordham N 85–66 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Penn State 89–102 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Virginia Tech @ Penn State N 64–86 regular
2024-11-13 2025 St. Francis (PA) @ Penn State 62–92 regular
2024-11-08 2025 UMBC @ Penn State 54–103 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Binghamton @ Penn State 66–108 regular