Penn State Nittany Lions
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.19 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 68.50 | possessions per game | 4.49 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.87 to 1.44 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 11 | 14 | 0.440 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Penn State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Penn State @ Wisconsin N | 74–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Penn State N | 66–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-08 | 2021 | Penn State @ Maryland | 66–61 | regular |
| 2021-03-04 | 2021 | Minnesota @ Penn State | 65–84 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Purdue @ Penn State | 73–52 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Penn State @ Nebraska | 86–83 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Penn State @ Iowa | 68–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Ohio State @ Penn State | 92–82 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Penn State | 62–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-10 | 2021 | Penn State @ Michigan State | 58–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Maryland @ Penn State | 50–55 | regular |
| 2021-02-03 | 2021 | Penn State @ Wisconsin | 56–72 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Penn State | 71–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Penn State @ Ohio State | 79–83 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Penn State | 78–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Penn State | 67–75 | regular |
| 2021-01-20 | 2021 | Penn State @ Illinois | 65–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Penn State @ Purdue | 72–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Penn State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Michigan @ Penn State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-06 | 2021 | Penn State @ Ohio State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Penn State | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Penn State @ Indiana | 85–87 | regular |
| 2020-12-23 | 2021 | Illinois @ Penn State | 98–81 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Penn State @ Michigan | 58–62 | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Penn State @ Virginia Tech | 75–55 | regular |
| 2020-12-07 | 2021 | Seton Hall @ Penn State | 98–92 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | VCU @ Penn State | 69–72 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | VMI @ Penn State | 65–86 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Drexel @ Penn State | canceled | regular |