cbb·system

Penn State Nittany Lions

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb #10 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.18 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.76 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Penn State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.83 to 1.44 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232314 0.622

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdPenn State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Penn State @ Texas N 66–71 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 Penn State @ Texas A&M N 76–59 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-12 2023 Penn State @ Purdue N 65–67 conf_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Penn State @ Indiana N 77–73 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Penn State @ Northwestern N 67–65 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Penn State @ Illinois N 79–76 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Maryland @ Penn State 64–65 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Penn State @ Northwestern 68–65 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Rutgers @ Penn State 59–56 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Penn State @ Ohio State 75–71 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Penn State @ Minnesota 76–69 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Illinois @ Penn State 81–93 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Penn State @ Maryland 68–74 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Wisconsin @ Penn State 79–74 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Penn State @ Nebraska 63–72 regular
2023-02-01 2023 Penn State @ Purdue 60–80 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Michigan @ Penn State 61–83 regular
2023-01-24 2023 Penn State @ Rutgers 45–65 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Nebraska @ Penn State 65–76 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Penn State @ Wisconsin 60–63 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Indiana @ Penn State 66–85 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Purdue @ Penn State 76–63 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Penn State @ Michigan 69–79 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Iowa @ Penn State 79–83 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Delaware State @ Penn State 46–60 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Quinnipiac @ Penn State 68–77 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Canisius @ Penn State 67–97 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Penn State @ Illinois 74–59 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Michigan State @ Penn State 67–58 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Penn State @ Clemson 94–101 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Lafayette @ Penn State 57–70 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Penn State @ Colorado State N 68–56 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Penn State @ Virginia Tech N 59–61 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Furman @ Penn State N 68–73 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Butler @ Penn State 62–68 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Loyola Maryland @ Penn State 65–90 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Winthrop @ Penn State 68–93 regular