cbb·system

NC State Wolfpack

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.78 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.33 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.89 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

NC State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.47 to 1.06 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232012 0.625

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNC State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Princeton @ NC State N 64–63 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 NC State @ Notre Dame N 60–66 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 Syracuse @ NC State N 58–83 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Pittsburgh @ NC State 63–68 regular
2023-02-24 2023 NC State @ Duke 62–77 regular
2023-02-19 2023 NC State @ Virginia Tech 62–75 regular
2023-02-17 2023 North Carolina @ NC State 66–77 regular
2023-02-12 2023 NC State @ Virginia 59–71 regular
2023-02-10 2023 NC State @ Wake Forest 51–42 regular
2023-02-06 2023 Virginia Tech @ NC State 73–61 regular
2023-02-03 2023 NC State @ Georgia Tech 62–68 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Notre Dame @ NC State 65–69 regular
2023-01-22 2023 NC State @ Louisville 63–51 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Miami @ NC State 61–71 regular
2023-01-15 2023 NC State @ North Carolina 47–56 regular
2023-01-12 2023 NC State @ Florida State 72–91 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Virginia @ NC State 62–87 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Boston College @ NC State 79–71 regular
2023-01-02 2023 NC State @ Syracuse 56–54 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Duke @ NC State 72–58 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Clemson @ NC State 59–77 regular
2022-12-16 2023 Davidson @ NC State 47–81 regular
2022-12-11 2023 South Florida @ NC State 57–65 regular
2022-12-06 2023 NC State @ Georgia 65–54 regular
2022-12-02 2023 NC State @ Iowa 94–81 regular
2022-11-25 2023 NC State @ West Virginia N 78–40 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Vanderbilt @ NC State N 73–82 regular
2022-11-20 2023 NC State @ UConn 69–91 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Charlotte @ NC State 48–96 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Mount St. Mary's @ NC State 38–86 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Elon @ NC State 55–89 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Quinnipiac @ NC State 45–82 regular