cbb·system

NC State Wolfpack

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.17
PACE 68.61 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

NC State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.76 to 1.30 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151815 0.545

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNC State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-26 2015 NC State @ Temple 79–80 other_postseason
2015-03-22 2015 NC State @ East Carolina 69–65 other_postseason
2015-03-19 2015 NC State @ East Tennessee State 73–58 other_postseason
2015-03-04 2015 Virginia Tech @ NC State N 57–56 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Notre Dame @ NC State 67–60 regular
2015-02-27 2015 NC State @ Florida State 52–72 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Duke @ NC State 59–72 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Miami @ NC State 65–68 regular
2015-02-16 2015 NC State @ Boston College 59–64 regular
2015-02-15 2015 NC State @ Boston College postponed regular
2015-02-13 2015 NC State @ Georgia Tech 65–64 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Wake Forest @ NC State 55–71 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Pittsburgh @ NC State 60–50 regular
2015-01-30 2015 NC State @ Virginia 63–71 regular
2015-01-25 2015 NC State @ Syracuse 49–66 regular
2015-01-23 2015 North Carolina @ NC State 67–63 regular
2015-01-18 2015 NC State @ Wake Forest 78–70 regular
2015-01-15 2015 NC State @ Louisville 58–65 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Clemson @ NC State 50–76 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Virginia Tech @ NC State 59–73 regular
2015-01-04 2015 NC State @ North Carolina 56–72 regular
2014-12-31 2015 NC State @ Villanova 65–74 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Davidson @ NC State 66–82 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Liberty @ NC State 64–67 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Mount St. Mary's @ NC State 60–85 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Elon @ NC State 51–84 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Minnesota @ NC State 60–55 regular
2014-11-29 2015 NC State @ Texas Tech N 75–42 regular
2014-11-28 2015 George Washington @ NC State N 74–66 regular
2014-11-24 2015 NC State @ Tulane 51–60 regular
2014-11-22 2015 High Point @ NC State 62–66 regular
2014-11-19 2015 NC State @ Charlotte 70–63 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Coppin State @ NC State 61–81 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Tennessee State @ NC State 55–84 regular