NC State Wolfpack
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Final Four (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.18 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.77 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.41 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.12 | possessions per game | 4.99 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 27 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.88 to 1.46 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | 3 | 0.880 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | NC State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-27 | 2021 | Indiana @ NC State N | 73–70 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-23 | 2021 | South Florida @ NC State N | 67–79 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-21 | 2021 | North Carolina A&T @ NC State N | 58–79 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | NC State @ Louisville N | 58–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Georgia Tech @ NC State N | 61–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Virginia Tech @ NC State N | 55–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | NC State @ Syracuse | 68–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Pittsburgh @ NC State | 53–83 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | North Carolina @ NC State | 63–82 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | NC State @ Wake Forest | 66–47 | regular |
| 2021-02-15 | 2021 | Notre Dame @ NC State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Clemson @ NC State | 65–86 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | NC State @ North Carolina | 69–76 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | NC State @ Louisville | 74–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | NC State @ Virginia Tech | 71–83 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Virginia Tech @ NC State | 87–89 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Virginia @ NC State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Boston College @ NC State | 57–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | NC State @ Georgia Tech | 84–75 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Miami @ NC State | 47–78 | regular |
| 2020-12-18 | 2021 | Wake Forest @ NC State | 65–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | NC State @ Boston College | 75–69 | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Elon @ NC State | 47–76 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Coastal Carolina @ NC State | 46–98 | regular |
| 2020-12-04 | 2021 | NC State @ South Carolina | 54–46 | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | North Carolina Central @ NC State | 70–108 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | North Florida @ NC State | 65–93 | regular |