cbb·system

NC State Wolfpack

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Elite 8 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.22 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.73 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.49 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.69 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

NC State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.95 to 1.52 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022324 0.889

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNC State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-28 2022 UConn @ NC State N 91–87 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-26 2022 Notre Dame @ NC State N 63–66 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-21 2022 Kansas State @ NC State 57–89 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-19 2022 Longwood @ NC State 68–96 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Miami @ NC State N 47–60 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Virginia Tech @ NC State N 55–70 conf_tournament
2022-03-04 2022 Florida State @ NC State N 54–84 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 NC State @ Virginia Tech 68–66 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Syracuse @ NC State 53–95 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Wake Forest @ NC State 61–92 regular
2022-02-13 2022 NC State @ Duke 77–62 regular
2022-02-10 2022 NC State @ Boston College 85–78 regular
2022-02-07 2022 Georgia Tech @ NC State 48–59 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Florida State @ NC State 48–68 regular
2022-02-02 2022 NC State @ Notre Dame 66–69 regular
2022-01-30 2022 NC State @ North Carolina 66–58 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Virginia Tech @ NC State 45–51 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Louisville @ NC State 59–68 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Duke @ NC State 60–84 regular
2022-01-14 2022 NC State @ Virginia 66–43 regular
2022-01-09 2022 NC State @ Miami 76–64 regular
2022-01-07 2022 North Carolina @ NC State 45–72 regular
2021-12-31 2022 NC State @ Clemson 79–52 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Virginia @ NC State 55–82 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Georgia @ NC State 82–80 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Saint Mary's @ NC State 73–101 regular
2021-12-10 2022 NC State @ Pittsburgh 89–54 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Elon @ NC State 46–78 regular
2021-12-03 2022 NC State @ Indiana 66–58 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Washington State @ NC State N 34–62 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Maryland @ NC State N 60–78 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Kansas State @ NC State 69–90 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Towson @ NC State 52–100 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Florida @ NC State 52–85 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Wofford @ NC State 57–90 regular
2021-11-09 2022 South Carolina @ NC State 66–57 regular