cbb·system

NC State Wolfpack

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Final Four (out) 2024

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.71 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.41 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.08 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 38 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

NC State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.85 to 1.54 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
2024317 0.816

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNC State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-04-05 2024 NC State @ South Carolina N 59–78 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-31 2024 NC State @ Texas N 76–66 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-29 2024 NC State @ Stanford N 77–67 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-25 2024 Tennessee @ NC State 72–79 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-23 2024 Chattanooga @ NC State 45–64 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-10 2024 Notre Dame @ NC State N 55–51 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 Florida State @ NC State N 43–69 conf_tournament
2024-03-08 2024 Duke @ NC State N 51–54 conf_tournament
2024-03-03 2024 Wake Forest @ NC State 57–75 regular
2024-03-01 2024 Syracuse @ NC State 71–75 regular
2024-02-25 2024 NC State @ Duke 58–69 regular
2024-02-23 2024 NC State @ North Carolina 70–80 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Georgia Tech @ NC State 85–86 regular
2024-02-15 2024 NC State @ Notre Dame 59–43 regular
2024-02-11 2024 NC State @ Pittsburgh 83–47 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Virginia Tech @ NC State 72–61 regular
2024-02-06 2024 Louisville @ NC State 67–77 regular
2024-02-02 2024 North Carolina @ NC State 59–63 regular
2024-01-28 2024 NC State @ Boston College 82–61 regular
2024-01-26 2024 NC State @ Clemson 71–49 regular
2024-01-21 2024 Duke @ NC State 57–72 regular
2024-01-18 2024 NC State @ Miami 59–73 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Virginia @ NC State 66–93 regular
2024-01-07 2024 NC State @ Virginia Tech 62–63 regular
2024-01-05 2024 Florida State @ NC State 80–88 regular
2023-12-31 2024 NC State @ Virginia 72–61 regular
2023-12-20 2024 NC State @ Old Dominion 87–50 regular
2023-12-17 2024 NC State @ South Florida 66–54 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Liberty @ NC State 67–80 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Illinois State @ NC State 61–79 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Vanderbilt @ NC State 62–70 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Colorado @ NC State N 60–78 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Cincinnati @ NC State N 45–79 regular
2023-11-23 2024 Kentucky @ NC State N 55–84 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Rhode Island @ NC State 58–67 regular
2023-11-16 2024 Elon @ NC State 35–90 regular
2023-11-12 2024 UConn @ NC State 81–92 regular
2023-11-08 2024 Charlotte @ NC State 43–84 regular