NC State Wolfpack
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Sweet 16 (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.18 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.77 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.41 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.38 | possessions per game | 4.76 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-06 19:00),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 57.70 to 139.47 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28 | 7 | 0.800 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | NC State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-28 | 2025 | LSU @ NC State N | 80–73 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-24 | 2025 | Michigan State @ NC State | 49–83 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 | Vermont @ NC State | 55–75 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-09 | 2025 | Duke @ NC State N | 76–62 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | North Carolina @ NC State N | 55–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | Georgia Tech @ NC State N | 72–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | NC State @ SMU | 69–45 | regular |
| 2025-02-28 | 2025 | Wake Forest @ NC State | 57–78 | regular |
| 2025-02-23 | 2025 | Notre Dame @ NC State | 95–104 | regular |
| 2025-02-21 | 2025 | NC State @ Georgia Tech | 83–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | NC State @ North Carolina | 65–66 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | Miami @ NC State | 74–76 | regular |
| 2025-02-09 | 2025 | NC State @ Florida State | 97–74 | regular |
| 2025-02-04 | 2025 | Duke @ NC State | 83–89 | regular |
| 2025-01-30 | 2025 | NC State @ Wake Forest | 90–83 | regular |
| 2025-01-26 | 2025 | Virginia Tech @ NC State | 57–85 | regular |
| 2025-01-23 | 2025 | NC State @ Syracuse | 74–66 | regular |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025 | Virginia @ NC State | 68–73 | regular |
| 2025-01-17 | 2025 | Pittsburgh @ NC State | 67–83 | regular |
| 2025-01-12 | 2025 | NC State @ Stanford | 81–67 | regular |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025 | NC State @ California | 71–78 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Boston College @ NC State | 52–91 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Clemson @ NC State | 79–83 | regular |
| 2024-12-20 | 2025 | James Madison @ NC State | 47–61 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | NC State @ Louisville | 72–42 | regular |
| 2024-12-12 | 2025 | Davidson @ NC State | 57–59 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Old Dominion @ NC State | 55–86 | regular |
| 2024-12-06 | 2025 | Ole Miss @ NC State | 61–68 | regular |
| 2024-11-27 | 2025 | LSU @ NC State N | 82–65 | regular |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | NC State @ Southern N | 77–47 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Coastal Carolina @ NC State | 68–89 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | NC State @ TCU | 73–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-15 | 2025 | Kent State @ NC State | 51–79 | regular |
| 2024-11-10 | 2025 | NC State @ South Carolina N | 57–71 | regular |
| 2024-11-06 | 2025 | East Tennessee State @ NC State | 55–80 | regular |