cbb·system

NC State Wolfpack

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.35 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.61 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

NC State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 60.90 to 117.92 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20262111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNC State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-22 2026 NC State @ Michigan 63–92 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-21 2026 Tennessee @ NC State N 61–76 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Notre Dame @ NC State N 81–63 conf_tournament
2026-03-01 2026 NC State @ Pittsburgh 93–43 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Wake Forest @ NC State 56–65 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Syracuse @ NC State 69–82 regular
2026-02-20 2026 NC State @ Duke 65–83 regular
2026-02-15 2026 NC State @ Notre Dame 67–79 regular
2026-02-08 2026 NC State @ Virginia Tech 82–62 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Florida State @ NC State 55–83 regular
2026-02-02 2026 North Carolina @ NC State 61–59 regular
2026-01-29 2026 NC State @ Boston College 106–84 regular
2026-01-24 2026 NC State @ Virginia 78–76 regular
2026-01-18 2026 Louisville @ NC State 88–80 regular
2026-01-15 2026 NC State @ Wake Forest 95–77 regular
2026-01-11 2026 SMU @ NC State 54–91 regular
2026-01-09 2026 NC State @ Clemson 65–75 regular
2026-01-04 2026 California @ NC State 60–71 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Stanford @ NC State 46–74 regular
2025-12-21 2026 NC State @ Davidson 68–59 regular
2025-12-19 2026 Georgia Tech @ NC State 58–87 regular
2025-12-14 2026 NC State @ Miami 87–61 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Seton Hall @ NC State 53–61 regular
2025-12-04 2026 NC State @ Oklahoma 98–103 regular
2025-11-28 2026 NC State @ Southern Miss N 110–56 regular
2025-11-27 2026 NC State @ Green Bay N 79–67 regular
2025-11-23 2026 Rhode Island @ NC State 68–63 regular
2025-11-19 2026 Coastal Carolina @ NC State 58–71 regular
2025-11-16 2026 TCU @ NC State 69–59 regular
2025-11-12 2026 Maine @ NC State 47–66 regular
2025-11-09 2026 USC @ NC State N 69–68 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Tennessee @ NC State N 77–80 regular