cbb·system

Tarleton State Texans

mens UAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.46 possessions per game 4.35

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Tarleton State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 59.08 to 80.39 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261418 0.438

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTarleton State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-12 2026 Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian N 78–84 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 UT Arlington @ Tarleton State 65–60 regular
2026-03-01 2026 Tarleton State @ California Baptist 67–82 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Tarleton State @ Utah Valley 72–79 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Utah Tech @ Tarleton State 80–72 regular
2026-02-20 2026 Southern Utah @ Tarleton State 74–78 regular
2026-02-17 2026 Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State 62–65 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian 59–73 regular
2026-02-08 2026 Tarleton State @ Southern Utah 62–59 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Tarleton State @ California Baptist 55–56 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Utah Tech @ Tarleton State 65–59 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Utah Valley @ Tarleton State 83–55 regular
2026-01-27 2026 Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State postponed regular
2026-01-22 2026 Tarleton State @ UT Arlington 64–71 regular
2026-01-18 2026 Tarleton State @ Utah Tech 71–75 regular
2026-01-16 2026 Tarleton State @ Southern Utah 105–106 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State 84–80 regular
2026-01-03 2026 California Baptist @ Tarleton State 76–81 regular
2026-01-02 2026 Utah Valley @ Tarleton State 91–85 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Tarleton State @ UT Arlington 69–63 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Florida A&M @ Tarleton State 54–78 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Tarleton State @ Mississippi Valley State 88–64 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Cameron @ Tarleton State 63–93 non_d1
2025-12-04 2026 Howard Payne @ Tarleton State 54–119 non_d1
2025-12-02 2026 Tarleton State @ Cincinnati 58–76 regular
2025-11-28 2026 Midwestern State @ Tarleton State 57–67 non_d1
2025-11-21 2026 Tarleton State @ Rice 90–74 regular
2025-11-18 2026 Angelo State @ Tarleton State 54–77 non_d1
2025-11-15 2026 Tarleton State @ Baylor 81–94 regular
2025-11-12 2026 Merrimack @ Tarleton State 62–76 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Tarleton State 77–85 regular
2025-11-06 2026 Tarleton State @ LSU 60–96 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Tarleton State @ SMU 76–96 regular