cbb·system

Xavier Musketeers

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb #3 Sweet 16 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.49 possessions per game 4.21

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Xavier AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.21 to 0.59 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232710 0.730

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdXavier auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-25 2023 Xavier @ Texas N 71–83 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-19 2023 Pittsburgh @ Xavier N 73–84 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 Kennesaw State @ Xavier N 67–72 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Xavier @ Marquette N 51–65 conf_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Creighton @ Xavier N 60–82 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 DePaul @ Xavier N 84–89 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Butler @ Xavier 66–78 regular
2023-03-01 2023 Xavier @ Providence 94–89 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Xavier @ Seton Hall 82–60 regular
2023-02-21 2023 Villanova @ Xavier 64–63 regular
2023-02-18 2023 DePaul @ Xavier 68–82 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Xavier @ Marquette 68–69 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Xavier @ Butler 67–69 regular
2023-02-04 2023 St. John's @ Xavier 71–96 regular
2023-02-01 2023 Providence @ Xavier 83–85 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Xavier @ Creighton 67–84 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Xavier @ UConn 82–79 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Georgetown @ Xavier 82–95 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Xavier @ DePaul 72–73 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Marquette @ Xavier 76–80 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Creighton @ Xavier 87–90 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Xavier @ Villanova 88–80 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UConn @ Xavier 73–83 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Xavier @ St. John's 84–79 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Seton Hall @ Xavier 70–73 regular
2022-12-16 2023 Xavier @ Georgetown 102–89 regular
2022-12-14 2023 Southern @ Xavier 59–79 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Xavier @ Cincinnati 80–77 regular
2022-12-03 2023 West Virginia @ Xavier 74–84 regular
2022-12-01 2023 SE Louisiana @ Xavier 63–95 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Xavier @ Gonzaga N 84–88 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Duke @ Xavier N 71–64 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Florida @ Xavier N 83–90 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Indiana @ Xavier 81–79 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Fairfield @ Xavier 65–78 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Montana @ Xavier 64–86 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Morgan State @ Xavier 73–96 regular