cbb·system

Liberty Flames

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.10 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.08 possessions per game 5.03

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.25 to 1.69 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191616 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-17 2019 Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast 49–72 conf_tournament
2019-03-13 2019 North Florida @ Liberty 51–65 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Jacksonville @ Liberty 53–65 conf_tournament
2019-03-06 2019 North Alabama @ Liberty 48–61 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Liberty @ NJIT 58–39 regular
2019-02-26 2019 Kennesaw State @ Liberty 55–68 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Liberty @ North Florida 54–66 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Liberty @ North Alabama 61–57 regular
2019-02-13 2019 Lipscomb @ Liberty 60–74 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Florida Gulf Coast @ Liberty 65–64 regular
2019-02-05 2019 Stetson @ Liberty 68–56 regular
2019-02-02 2019 NJIT @ Liberty 47–58 regular
2019-01-30 2019 Liberty @ Lipscomb 77–60 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Liberty @ Jacksonville 85–75 regular
2019-01-19 2019 North Florida @ Liberty 53–69 regular
2019-01-16 2019 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 67–61 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Jacksonville @ Liberty 64–52 regular
2019-01-09 2019 Liberty @ Stetson 52–69 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast 50–68 regular
2019-01-02 2019 West Chester @ Liberty 42–61 non_d1
2018-12-22 2019 Liberty @ Duquesne N 55–51 regular
2018-12-21 2019 UCF @ Liberty N 53–45 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Liberty @ UNC Greensboro 45–48 regular
2018-12-13 2019 Liberty @ East Carolina 63–66 regular
2018-12-05 2019 Liberty @ East Tennessee State 89–86 regular
2018-11-30 2019 James Madison @ Liberty 74–53 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Liberty @ Norfolk State N 53–66 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Charlotte @ Liberty N 63–61 regular
2018-11-22 2019 Liberty @ Chattanooga 60–75 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Saint Francis @ Liberty 53–82 regular
2018-11-13 2019 Virginia Tech @ Liberty 72–61 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Liberty @ Bethune-Cookman 76–81 regular