cbb·system

Liberty Flames

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.17 possessions per game 4.67

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.48 to 1.13 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022285 0.848

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-22 2022 Liberty @ Vanderbilt 45–71 other_postseason
2022-03-16 2022 Campbell @ Liberty 44–50 other_postseason
2022-03-10 2022 Liberty @ Jacksonville State 57–59 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Eastern Kentucky @ Liberty 57–77 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 63–57 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Florida Gulf Coast @ Liberty 69–61 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Stetson @ Liberty 53–65 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Liberty @ North Florida 56–38 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Liberty @ Jacksonville 61–45 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Lipscomb @ Liberty 51–64 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Liberty @ Eastern Kentucky 69–55 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Liberty @ Bellarmine 77–52 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Jacksonville State @ Liberty 57–62 regular
2022-01-27 2022 North Alabama @ Liberty 63–75 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Liberty @ Central Arkansas 79–51 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Jacksonville @ Liberty 48–49 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast 69–73 regular
2022-01-13 2022 North Florida @ Liberty 50–61 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Kennesaw State @ Liberty 58–68 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Liberty @ Stetson 65–49 regular
2021-12-30 2022 Lee (TN) @ Liberty 39–75 non_d1
2021-12-18 2022 Liberty @ UT Rio Grande Valley N 54–32 regular
2021-12-17 2022 Liberty @ Grand Canyon N 76–61 regular
2021-12-14 2022 Bluefield State @ Liberty 30–76 non_d1
2021-12-13 2022 Bluefield State @ Liberty canceled non_d1
2021-12-08 2022 Virginia Tech @ Liberty 40–59 regular
2021-12-05 2022 High Point @ Liberty 47–70 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Liberty @ Hampton 68–48 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Liberty @ Bowling Green N 76–72 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Liberty @ Navy 63–42 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Memphis @ Liberty 53–51 regular
2021-11-19 2022 James Madison @ Liberty 61–66 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Ohio @ Liberty 63–66 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Belmont Abbey @ Liberty 40–89 non_d1