cbb·system

Liberty Flames

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.31 possessions per game 4.96

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.57 to 1.19 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025267 0.788

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-21 2025 Liberty @ Kentucky 78–79 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Liberty N 48–53 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Louisiana Tech @ Liberty N 53–80 conf_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Sam Houston @ Liberty N 51–78 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Western Kentucky @ Liberty 70–74 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Liberty 42–61 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Liberty @ Kennesaw State 71–69 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Liberty @ Jacksonville State 71–55 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Liberty @ Florida International 73–57 regular
2025-02-15 2025 UTEP @ Liberty 53–67 regular
2025-02-14 2025 New Mexico State @ Liberty 58–63 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Liberty @ Sam Houston 74–54 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Liberty @ Louisiana Tech 66–67 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Jacksonville State @ Liberty 53–62 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Kennesaw State @ Liberty 39–74 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Florida International @ Liberty 54–83 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Liberty @ New Mexico State 82–72 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Liberty @ UTEP 75–64 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Louisiana Tech @ Liberty 64–75 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Sam Houston @ Liberty 54–69 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Liberty @ Middle Tennessee 41–69 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Liberty @ Western Kentucky 77–66 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Toledo @ Liberty N 71–63 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Arkansas @ Liberty N 61–75 regular
2024-12-12 2025 Randolph @ Liberty 26–109 non_d1
2024-12-07 2025 North Carolina A&T @ Liberty 51–56 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Christopher Newport @ Liberty 58–106 non_d1
2024-11-27 2025 Liberty @ Grand Canyon 50–79 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Liberty @ Towson 64–57 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Liberty @ Tennessee 93–109 regular
2024-11-10 2025 California Baptist @ Liberty 44–72 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Duke @ Liberty 83–67 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Valparaiso @ Liberty N 58–77 regular