cbb·system

Liberty Flames

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.11 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Liberty AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 59.88 to 94.46 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015267 0.788

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLiberty auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-21 2015 Liberty @ North Carolina N 65–71 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-08 2015 High Point @ Liberty N 64–74 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Campbell @ Liberty N 43–71 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 UNC Asheville @ Liberty N 51–59 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Liberty @ Campbell 64–57 regular
2015-02-25 2015 Winthrop @ Liberty 71–91 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Charleston Southern @ Liberty 53–64 regular
2015-02-17 2015 Liberty @ Longwood 65–60 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Liberty @ Presbyterian 63–41 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Coastal Carolina @ Liberty 64–78 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Liberty @ Gardner-Webb 61–48 regular
2015-02-03 2015 Radford @ Liberty 39–75 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Liberty @ High Point 58–41 regular
2015-01-28 2015 UNC Asheville @ Liberty 58–62 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Campbell @ Liberty 40–64 regular
2015-01-21 2015 Liberty @ Winthrop 58–63 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Liberty @ Charleston Southern 86–51 regular
2015-01-14 2015 Longwood @ Liberty 48–70 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Liberty @ Coastal Carolina 66–47 regular
2015-01-06 2015 Presbyterian @ Liberty 42–59 regular
2015-01-03 2015 High Point @ Liberty 47–64 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Liberty @ UNC Asheville 67–55 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Liberty @ South Carolina N 44–84 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Liberty @ Minnesota 60–74 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Liberty @ NC State 64–67 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Gardner-Webb @ Liberty 47–56 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Liberty @ Radford 72–63 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Liberty @ Georgia State 73–71 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Penn State @ Liberty N 68–80 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Liberty @ Elon 62–73 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Saint Joseph's @ Liberty 75–76 regular
2014-11-18 2015 VCU @ Liberty 53–69 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Charlotte @ Liberty 79–77 regular