cbb·system

Tarleton State Texans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.72 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Tarleton State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.24 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTarleton State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-13 2026 Tarleton State @ California Baptist N 60–77 conf_tournament
2026-03-12 2026 Tarleton State @ Utah Valley N 60–57 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Tarleton State @ UT Arlington 65–54 regular
2026-02-28 2026 California Baptist @ Tarleton State 76–67 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Utah Valley @ Tarleton State 65–51 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Tarleton State @ Utah Tech 55–76 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Tarleton State @ Southern Utah 69–76 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State 72–67 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Southern Utah @ Tarleton State 57–59 regular
2026-02-06 2026 California Baptist @ Tarleton State 77–67 regular
2026-02-04 2026 Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian 65–68 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Tarleton State @ Utah Tech 63–45 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Tarleton State @ Utah Valley 67–70 regular
2026-01-27 2026 Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian postponed regular
2026-01-22 2026 UT Arlington @ Tarleton State 37–51 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Utah Tech @ Tarleton State 60–64 regular
2026-01-16 2026 Southern Utah @ Tarleton State 55–81 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian 59–64 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Tarleton State @ California Baptist 68–80 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Tarleton State @ Utah Valley 49–74 regular
2025-12-30 2026 UT Arlington @ Tarleton State 57–66 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Montana @ Tarleton State N 90–85 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Tarleton State @ Buffalo N 70–65 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Texas A&M-San Antonio @ Tarleton State 73–94 non_d1
2025-12-03 2026 Tarleton State @ Mississippi Valley State 66–50 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Tarleton State @ Texas State 56–45 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Tarleton State @ TCU 32–80 regular
2025-11-16 2026 McNeese @ Tarleton State 49–47 regular
2025-11-13 2026 Tarleton State @ Texas A&M 64–79 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Houston Christian @ Tarleton State 71–75 regular
2025-11-07 2026 Arkansas State @ Tarleton State 87–77 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Schreiner @ Tarleton State 35–90 non_d1