cbb·system

Colorado Buffaloes

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #5 Round of 32 (out) 2021

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.21 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.29 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.33 possessions per game 4.72

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Colorado AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.51 to 1.26 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021239 0.719

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdColorado auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-22 2021 Colorado @ Florida State N 53–71 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-20 2021 Georgetown @ Colorado N 73–96 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-14 2021 Oregon State @ Colorado N 70–68 conf_tournament
2021-03-13 2021 Colorado @ USC N 72–70 conf_tournament
2021-03-12 2021 California @ Colorado N 58–61 conf_tournament
2021-03-05 2021 Arizona State @ Colorado 61–75 regular
2021-02-28 2021 UCLA @ Colorado 61–70 regular
2021-02-26 2021 USC @ Colorado 62–80 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Colorado @ Oregon State 61–57 regular
2021-02-19 2021 Colorado @ Oregon 56–60 regular
2021-02-14 2021 Colorado @ California 62–71 regular
2021-02-12 2021 Colorado @ Stanford 69–51 regular
2021-02-09 2021 Oregon State @ Colorado 49–78 regular
2021-02-07 2021 Arizona @ Colorado 79–82 regular
2021-02-05 2021 Arizona State @ Colorado scheduled regular
2021-01-30 2021 Utah @ Colorado 77–74 regular
2021-01-28 2021 Washington State @ Colorado 58–70 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Colorado @ Washington State 70–59 regular
2021-01-21 2021 Colorado @ Washington 80–84 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Stanford @ Colorado 64–77 regular
2021-01-14 2021 California @ Colorado 60–89 regular
2021-01-11 2021 Colorado @ Utah 65–58 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Oregon State @ Colorado scheduled regular
2021-01-07 2021 Oregon @ Colorado 72–79 regular
2021-01-03 2021 Colorado @ UCLA 62–65 regular
2021-01-01 2021 Colorado @ USC 72–62 regular
2020-12-29 2021 Colorado @ Arizona 74–88 regular
2020-12-23 2021 Colorado @ Grand Canyon N 74–64 regular
2020-12-21 2021 Washington @ Colorado N 69–92 regular
2020-12-16 2021 Omaha @ Colorado 49–91 regular
2020-12-15 2021 Northern Colorado @ Colorado 45–81 regular
2020-12-08 2021 Colorado @ Tennessee 47–56 regular
2020-12-05 2021 Washington State @ Colorado scheduled regular
2020-12-03 2021 Colorado @ Arizona scheduled regular
2020-11-28 2021 Colorado @ Kansas State 76–58 regular
2020-11-26 2021 South Dakota @ Colorado N 61–84 regular