cbb·system

North Texas Mean Green

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 59.67 possessions per game 4.78

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Texas AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.28 to 0.58 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025279 0.750

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorth Texas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-04-01 2025 North Texas @ UC Irvine N 67–69 nit
2025-03-26 2025 North Texas @ Oklahoma State 61–59 nit
2025-03-23 2025 Arkansas State @ North Texas 63–65 nit
2025-03-20 2025 Furman @ North Texas 64–75 nit
2025-03-15 2025 UAB @ North Texas N 66–56 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 Tulsa @ North Texas N 59–77 conf_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 North Texas @ Temple 61–66 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Charlotte @ North Texas 64–75 regular
2025-03-04 2025 Wichita State @ North Texas 66–68 regular
2025-02-28 2025 North Texas @ Florida Atlantic 71–61 regular
2025-02-23 2025 North Texas @ South Florida 64–57 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Tulsa @ North Texas 44–63 regular
2025-02-12 2025 North Texas @ Rice 67–61 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Tulane @ North Texas 66–76 regular
2025-02-04 2025 North Texas @ UAB 61–64 regular
2025-02-01 2025 UTSA @ North Texas 54–50 regular
2025-01-30 2025 North Texas @ Wichita State 58–54 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Florida Atlantic @ North Texas 64–77 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Temple @ North Texas 67–76 regular
2025-01-18 2025 North Texas @ UTSA 72–57 regular
2025-01-15 2025 North Texas @ East Carolina 69–60 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Rice @ North Texas 59–81 regular
2025-01-05 2025 North Texas @ Memphis 64–68 regular
2024-12-31 2025 UAB @ North Texas 75–78 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Houston Christian @ North Texas 46–62 regular
2024-12-21 2025 App State @ North Texas 64–68 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Mississippi Valley State @ North Texas 42–83 regular
2024-12-07 2025 North Texas @ High Point 71–76 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Utah State @ North Texas N 61–57 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Northern Iowa @ North Texas N 48–68 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Oregon State @ North Texas 55–58 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Texas Wesleyan @ North Texas 66–73 non_d1
2024-11-19 2025 North Texas @ McNeese 61–68 regular
2024-11-14 2025 North Texas @ Minnesota 54–51 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Wayland Baptist @ North Texas 38–80 non_d1
2024-11-06 2025 Evansville @ North Texas 63–80 regular