cbb·system

North Texas Mean Green

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 58.83 possessions per game 4.79

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Texas AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 47.63 to 69.61 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023317 0.816

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorth Texas auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-31 2023 UAB @ North Texas N 61–68 nit
2023-03-28 2023 Wisconsin @ North Texas N 54–56 nit
2023-03-21 2023 North Texas @ Oklahoma State 65–59 nit
2023-03-19 2023 Sam Houston @ North Texas 55–75 nit
2023-03-16 2023 Alcorn State @ North Texas 53–69 nit
2023-03-10 2023 UAB @ North Texas N 76–69 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Louisiana Tech @ North Texas N 46–74 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Western Kentucky @ North Texas 33–67 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Middle Tennessee @ North Texas 50–64 regular
2023-02-24 2023 North Texas @ Charlotte 49–55 regular
2023-02-19 2023 North Texas @ UTEP 80–72 regular
2023-02-17 2023 North Texas @ Louisiana Tech 72–62 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Charlotte @ North Texas 43–67 regular
2023-02-10 2023 UAB @ North Texas 79–82 regular
2023-02-05 2023 North Texas @ Rice 74–64 regular
2023-01-28 2023 UTEP @ North Texas 42–52 regular
2023-01-27 2023 UTSA @ North Texas 59–63 regular
2023-01-21 2023 North Texas @ UAB 63–52 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Rice @ North Texas 72–60 regular
2023-01-17 2023 North Texas @ Florida International 64–57 regular
2023-01-14 2023 North Texas @ Florida Atlantic 62–66 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Louisiana Tech @ North Texas 65–67 regular
2023-01-07 2023 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 56–51 regular
2023-01-06 2023 North Texas @ Western Kentucky 70–66 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Florida International @ North Texas 57–72 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Florida Atlantic @ North Texas 50–46 regular
2022-12-23 2023 North Texas @ UTSA 78–54 regular
2022-12-17 2023 North Texas @ Massachusetts N 62–44 regular
2022-12-10 2023 North Texas @ Grand Canyon N 60–58 regular
2022-12-07 2023 North Texas @ UT Arlington 60–57 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Omaha @ North Texas 45–75 regular
2022-11-28 2023 North Texas @ UNC Wilmington N 51–55 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Long Beach State @ North Texas N 47–68 regular
2022-11-25 2023 San José State @ North Texas N 54–69 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Paul Quinn @ North Texas 46–76 non_d1
2022-11-19 2023 Fresno State @ North Texas 52–61 regular
2022-11-14 2023 North Texas @ Saint Mary's 33–63 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Southern Nazarene @ North Texas 47–53 non_d1