cbb·system

Idaho State Bengals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.23 points per possession 0.16
PACE 73.91 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Idaho State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 62.94 to 84.40 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbIdaho State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-12 2015 Idaho State @ Montana N 67–69 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Idaho State @ Idaho 53–77 regular
2015-03-06 2015 Idaho State @ Eastern Washington 58–62 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Weber State @ Idaho State 56–63 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Montana State @ Idaho State 74–87 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Montana @ Idaho State 69–51 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Idaho State @ Southern Utah 75–76 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Idaho State @ Northern Arizona 47–64 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Idaho State @ Weber State 57–63 regular
2015-01-31 2015 North Dakota @ Idaho State 69–75 regular
2015-01-30 2015 Northern Colorado @ Idaho State 61–70 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Idaho State @ Portland State 65–53 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Idaho State @ Sacramento State 53–84 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Northern Arizona @ Idaho State 68–69 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Southern Utah @ Idaho State 68–61 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Idaho State @ Montana 65–77 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Idaho State @ Montana State 65–62 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Eastern Washington @ Idaho State 88–75 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Idaho @ Idaho State 50–71 regular
2014-12-30 2015 College of Idaho @ Idaho State 48–81 non_d1
2014-12-21 2015 Idaho State @ Seattle U 63–55 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Utah Valley @ Idaho State 67–68 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Idaho State @ Utah 40–59 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Drake @ Idaho State 80–66 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Boise State @ Idaho State 86–62 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Houston @ Idaho State N 67–73 regular
2014-11-27 2015 San Diego State @ Idaho State N 68–53 regular
2014-11-24 2015 Northwest Nazarene @ Idaho State 69–88 non_d1
2014-11-19 2015 Idaho State @ Gonzaga 63–88 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Idaho State @ Washington State 34–84 regular