cbb·system

Rider Broncs

mens Metro canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.77 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Rider AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.26 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221419 0.424

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdRider auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-11 2022 Rider @ Monmouth N 68–72 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Rider @ Iona N 71–70 conf_tournament
2022-03-08 2022 Rider @ Manhattan N 79–67 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Monmouth @ Rider 65–74 regular
2022-03-04 2022 Rider @ Fairfield 59–65 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Iona @ Rider 67–61 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Niagara @ Rider 68–70 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Rider @ Manhattan 78–84 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Rider @ Monmouth 58–60 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Siena @ Rider 76–75 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Rider @ Saint Peter's 58–49 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Manhattan @ Rider 67–76 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Rider @ Siena 74–60 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Canisius @ Rider 62–70 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Fairfield @ Rider 76–65 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Rider @ Niagara 70–67 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Rider @ Canisius 69–70 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Rider @ Quinnipiac 67–73 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Saint Peter's @ Rider 58–51 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Quinnipiac @ Rider 77–70 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Rider @ Marist 79–75 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Manhattan @ Rider scheduled regular
2022-01-02 2022 Rider @ Quinnipiac scheduled regular
2021-12-21 2022 Gwynedd-Mercy @ Rider 57–82 non_d1
2021-12-18 2022 Rider @ Rutgers canceled regular
2021-12-05 2022 Marist @ Rider 79–67 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Rider @ Iona 54–80 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Rider @ Ole Miss 51–75 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Rider @ South Carolina 58–65 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Rider @ Bucknell N 85–79 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Middle Tennessee @ Rider N 60–54 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Rider @ Buffalo 65–87 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Rider @ Bucknell 74–81 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Delaware State @ Rider 53–63 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Coppin State @ Rider 69–81 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Rider @ Duquesne 61–73 regular