cbb·system

Weber State Wildcats

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.77 possessions per game 4.37

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Weber State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.32 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222112 0.636

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdWeber State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-12 2022 Weber State @ Montana State N 66–69 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Montana @ Weber State N 56–68 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Southern Utah @ Weber State 80–70 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Weber State @ Northern Arizona 73–49 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Weber State @ Portland State 75–81 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 83–79 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Sacramento State @ Weber State 50–65 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Weber State @ Idaho 79–83 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Weber State @ Eastern Washington 67–75 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Montana State @ Weber State 78–57 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Montana @ Weber State 75–80 regular
2022-02-01 2022 Eastern Washington @ Weber State 84–90 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Weber State @ Sacramento State 79–59 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 85–76 regular
2022-01-25 2022 Weber State @ Southern Utah 92–84 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Idaho State @ Weber State 63–95 regular
2022-01-18 2022 Weber State @ Idaho State 78–61 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Eastern Washington @ Weber State scheduled regular
2022-01-14 2022 Idaho @ Weber State 74–84 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Weber State @ Idaho State scheduled regular
2022-01-02 2022 Weber State @ Montana 72–74 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Weber State @ Montana State 85–75 regular
2021-12-23 2022 Fresno State @ Weber State 69–43 regular
2021-12-19 2022 BYU @ Weber State 89–71 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Utah State @ Weber State 95–80 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Maine-Fort Kent @ Weber State 36–82 non_d1
2021-12-09 2022 Weber State @ Washington State 60–94 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Portland State @ Weber State 69–80 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Northern Arizona @ Weber State 44–67 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Weber State @ Utah Tech 87–70 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Green Bay @ Weber State N 58–68 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Weber State @ Ball State N 85–74 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Massachusetts @ Weber State N 73–88 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Weber State @ Duquesne 63–59 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Western Colorado @ Weber State 60–100 non_d1