cbb·system

Weber State Wildcats

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.82 possessions per game 4.37

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Weber State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 55.07 to 75.35 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231815 0.545

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdWeber State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-08 2023 Weber State @ Montana State N 58–60 conf_tournament
2023-03-07 2023 Sacramento State @ Weber State N 64–70 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Weber State @ Northern Arizona 90–89 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Idaho @ Weber State 53–67 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Eastern Washington @ Weber State 89–82 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Weber State @ Portland State 65–57 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Weber State @ Sacramento State 52–49 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Montana @ Weber State 74–69 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Montana State @ Weber State 63–73 regular
2023-02-07 2023 Weber State @ Northern Colorado 54–88 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Weber State @ Idaho State 72–71 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Weber State @ Eastern Washington 71–75 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Weber State @ Idaho 73–65 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Sacramento State @ Weber State 48–50 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Portland State @ Weber State 68–84 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Weber State @ Montana State 52–67 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Weber State @ Montana 59–57 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Idaho State @ Weber State 67–57 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Northern Arizona @ Weber State 60–76 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Northern Colorado @ Weber State 72–81 regular
2022-12-23 2023 Weber State @ BYU 57–63 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Weber State @ Utah State 75–72 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Weber State @ Cal Poly 74–45 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Saint Martin's @ Weber State 58–82 non_d1
2022-12-08 2023 Weber State @ California Baptist 52–64 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Utah Tech @ Weber State 77–65 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Weber State @ Tarleton State 65–75 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Wright State @ Weber State N 87–65 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Weber State @ Abilene Christian N 77–67 regular
2022-11-22 2023 UC Riverside @ Weber State N 72–65 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Weber State @ Colorado State 52–77 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Western Colorado @ Weber State 67–83 non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 Weber State @ Washington 52–69 regular