cbb·system

Oregon Ducks

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.16 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.50 possessions per game 4.37

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Oregon AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.27 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232115 0.583

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdOregon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-22 2023 Wisconsin @ Oregon 61–58 nit
2023-03-19 2023 UCF @ Oregon 54–68 nit
2023-03-16 2023 UC Irvine @ Oregon 58–84 nit
2023-03-11 2023 Oregon @ UCLA N 56–75 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Washington State @ Oregon N 70–75 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Stanford @ Oregon 68–73 regular
2023-03-03 2023 California @ Oregon 51–84 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Oregon @ Oregon State 69–67 regular
2023-02-20 2023 Oregon @ Washington State 65–68 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Oregon @ Washington 71–72 regular
2023-02-12 2023 UCLA @ Oregon 70–63 regular
2023-02-10 2023 USC @ Oregon 60–78 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Oregon @ Arizona State 75–70 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Oregon @ Arizona 76–91 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Utah @ Oregon 56–68 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Colorado @ Oregon 69–75 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Oregon @ Stanford 64–71 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Oregon @ California 87–58 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Arizona @ Oregon 68–87 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Arizona State @ Oregon 90–73 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Oregon @ Utah 70–60 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Oregon @ Colorado 41–68 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Oregon State @ Oregon 68–77 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Utah Valley @ Oregon 77–72 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Portland @ Oregon 56–78 regular
2022-12-15 2023 UC Riverside @ Oregon 65–71 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Nevada @ Oregon 65–78 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Oregon @ UCLA 56–65 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Washington State @ Oregon 60–74 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Villanova @ Oregon N 67–74 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Oregon @ Michigan State N 70–74 regular
2022-11-25 2023 UConn @ Oregon N 83–59 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Houston @ Oregon 66–56 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Montana State @ Oregon 51–81 regular
2022-11-12 2023 UC Irvine @ Oregon 69–56 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Florida A&M @ Oregon 45–80 regular