cbb·system

Buffalo Bulls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.17
PACE 71.84 possessions per game 4.75

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Buffalo AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.50 to 1.16 over 109 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBuffalo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-13 2014 Ball State @ Buffalo N 74–60 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Kent State @ Buffalo 51–64 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Akron @ Buffalo 79–71 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Buffalo @ Miami (OH) 74–61 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Buffalo @ Ohio 71–83 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 73–63 regular
2014-02-20 2014 Buffalo @ Kent State 61–53 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Northern Illinois @ Buffalo 57–66 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Buffalo @ Central Michigan 63–74 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Ohio @ Buffalo 43–55 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Buffalo @ Akron 92–101 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Miami (OH) @ Buffalo 56–58 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Buffalo @ Ball State 73–69 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 63–52 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo 83–84 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Toledo @ Buffalo 46–51 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Central Michigan @ Buffalo 82–68 regular
2014-01-08 2014 Buffalo @ Western Michigan 72–82 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 50–62 regular
2014-01-01 2014 Roberts Wesleyan @ Buffalo 58–93 non_d1
2013-12-21 2014 Buffalo @ Niagara 78–70 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure 71–76 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Buffalo @ Siena 60–64 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Saint Francis @ Buffalo 77–87 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Buffalo @ Pittsburgh 66–62 regular
2013-11-28 2014 Canisius @ Buffalo 59–68 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Buffalo @ Duquesne 55–78 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Cornell @ Buffalo 79–72 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Buffalo @ Youngstown State 72–65 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Buffalo @ Binghamton 65–47 regular