cbb·system

Buffalo Bulls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.18 possessions per game 4.47

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Buffalo AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.64 to 1.23 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201912 0.613

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBuffalo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-11 2020 Buffalo @ Kent State N 66–72 conf_tournament
2020-03-09 2020 Miami (OH) @ Buffalo 72–87 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Kent State @ Buffalo 58–72 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Buffalo @ Akron 76–61 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Buffalo @ Ohio 63–62 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Miami (OH) @ Buffalo 72–88 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 62–56 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Akron @ Buffalo 69–63 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Ball State @ Buffalo 69–58 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Buffalo @ Western Michigan 62–74 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Toledo @ Buffalo 78–62 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 63–64 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Central Michigan @ Buffalo 98–93 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Buffalo @ Kent State 57–44 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Buffalo @ Ball State 65–69 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo 63–66 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 59–65 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Ohio @ Buffalo 76–65 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Buffalo @ Toledo 59–71 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Buffalo @ Miami (OH) 86–72 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Dartmouth @ Buffalo 49–73 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Dayton @ Buffalo 59–67 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure 46–36 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Buffalo @ American University N 73–55 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Buffalo @ Drexel N 63–59 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Buffalo @ Stanford 69–88 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Buffalo @ San José State 88–95 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Columbia @ Buffalo 75–82 regular
2019-11-13 2020 Canisius @ Buffalo 55–71 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Buffalo @ Niagara 81–67 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Central Connecticut @ Buffalo 56–61 regular