Air Force Falcons
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2020
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.86 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.93 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.07 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 68.66 | possessions per game | 4.59 |
At season 2020's latest cutoff
(2020-03-12 18:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020.
Axis spans 0.64 to 1.27 over
107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2020
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 10 | 21 | 0.323 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-03 | 2020 | Air Force @ Boise State N | 50–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2020-03-02 | 2020 | Colorado State @ Air Force N | 48–60 | conf_tournament |
| 2020-02-28 | 2020 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 44–49 | regular |
| 2020-02-25 | 2020 | Air Force @ New Mexico | 79–66 | regular |
| 2020-02-22 | 2020 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 52–68 | regular |
| 2020-02-20 | 2020 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 65–88 | regular |
| 2020-02-15 | 2020 | Air Force @ San José State | 67–66 | regular |
| 2020-02-13 | 2020 | Boise State @ Air Force | 74–69 | regular |
| 2020-02-08 | 2020 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 51–49 | regular |
| 2020-02-06 | 2020 | Nevada @ Air Force | 71–67 | regular |
| 2020-01-30 | 2020 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 52–61 | regular |
| 2020-01-25 | 2020 | San José State @ Air Force | 68–60 | regular |
| 2020-01-23 | 2020 | Utah State @ Air Force | 53–52 | regular |
| 2020-01-18 | 2020 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 40–60 | regular |
| 2020-01-16 | 2020 | Air Force @ Boise State | 61–70 | regular |
| 2020-01-11 | 2020 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 75–53 | regular |
| 2020-01-09 | 2020 | Air Force @ Utah State | 62–45 | regular |
| 2020-01-04 | 2020 | UNLV @ Air Force | 67–60 | regular |
| 2019-12-31 | 2020 | Nebraska Wesleyan @ Air Force | 42–93 | non_d1 |
| 2019-12-21 | 2020 | Air Force @ Cal State Fullerton | 70–79 | regular |
| 2019-12-19 | 2020 | Air Force @ Long Beach State | 68–74 | regular |
| 2019-12-07 | 2020 | Air Force @ Nevada | 68–61 | regular |
| 2019-12-05 | 2020 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 65–63 | regular |
| 2019-12-01 | 2020 | Air Force @ Tennessee | 54–81 | regular |
| 2019-11-27 | 2020 | Air Force @ Navy | 59–67 | regular |
| 2019-11-23 | 2020 | Portland @ Air Force | 72–56 | regular |
| 2019-11-20 | 2020 | Air Force @ Northern Colorado | 62–72 | regular |
| 2019-11-16 | 2020 | San Diego @ Air Force | 70–59 | regular |
| 2019-11-14 | 2020 | Army @ Air Force | 68–66 | regular |
| 2019-11-08 | 2020 | NJIT @ Air Force | 48–68 | regular |
| 2019-11-06 | 2020 | Air Force @ Arizona State | 56–87 | regular |