Air Force Falcons
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.84 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.90 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.06 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.76 | possessions per game | 5.40 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.58 to 1.23 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 8 | 18 | 0.308 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-08 | 2021 | Air Force @ New Mexico N | 51–67 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | Air Force @ San Diego State N | 56–48 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Nevada @ Air Force | 69–58 | regular |
| 2021-03-03 | 2021 | Nevada @ Air Force | 59–56 | regular |
| 2021-03-01 | 2021 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 68–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 72–48 | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 73–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 80–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Colorado Christian @ Air Force | 32–59 | non_d1 |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Nevada @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-15 | 2021 | Nevada @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 54–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 58–76 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | UNLV @ Air Force | 68–57 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | UNLV @ Air Force | 52–49 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | San José State @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | San José State @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 58–55 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 54–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-19 | 2021 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 46–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 49–55 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Boise State @ Air Force | 71–49 | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | Boise State @ Air Force | 52–76 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Air Force @ Utah State | 55–61 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Air Force @ Utah State | 66–70 | regular |
| 2020-12-28 | 2021 | Portland State @ Air Force | 65–94 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Air Force @ Denver | 82–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-17 | 2021 | Western Colorado @ Air Force | 77–70 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Nevada @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-04 | 2021 | Nevada @ Air Force | postponed | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Omaha @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Air Force @ Colorado | 46–88 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Denver @ Air Force | 72–56 | regular |