Air Force Falcons
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.91 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.02 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 69.33 | possessions per game | 4.56 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-07 19:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 57.55 to 95.46 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 17 | 0.469 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-10 | 2024 | Fresno State @ Air Force N | 62–44 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Air Force @ Boise State | 67–66 | regular |
| 2024-02-28 | 2024 | Utah State @ Air Force | 46–85 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | San José State @ Air Force | 53–67 | regular |
| 2024-02-22 | 2024 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 63–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-18 | 2024 | Air Force @ UNLV | 68–95 | regular |
| 2024-02-15 | 2024 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 74–68 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Air Force @ Utah State | 78–72 | regular |
| 2024-02-08 | 2024 | Nevada @ Air Force | 62–56 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Air Force @ San José State | 78–56 | regular |
| 2024-02-01 | 2024 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 49–59 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 66–51 | regular |
| 2024-01-25 | 2024 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 63–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-18 | 2024 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 67–81 | regular |
| 2024-01-13 | 2024 | UNLV @ Air Force | 76–64 | regular |
| 2024-01-11 | 2024 | Air Force @ Nevada | 75–71 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 68–51 | regular |
| 2024-01-04 | 2024 | San Diego State @ Air Force | 63–71 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 49–59 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Air Force @ SMU | 44–75 | regular |
| 2023-12-19 | 2024 | Air Force @ Clemson | 54–70 | regular |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | Weber State @ Air Force | 58–70 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | Northern Colorado @ Air Force | 60–68 | regular |
| 2023-12-06 | 2024 | Colorado Colorado Springs @ Air Force | 56–61 | non_d1 |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Colorado @ Air Force | 74–58 | regular |
| 2023-11-27 | 2024 | Idaho State @ Air Force N | 55–52 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | Air Force @ Washington N | 53–73 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | Air Force @ Hawai'i | 54–51 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | Army @ Air Force | 61–83 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | Regis University @ Air Force | 68–78 | non_d1 |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Air Force @ Houston | 61–99 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Denver @ Air Force | 63–65 | regular |