cbb·system

San Francisco Dons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.38 possessions per game 4.79

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

San Francisco AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 59.71 to 82.44 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181615 0.516

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSan Francisco auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-05 2018 San Francisco @ Gonzaga N 53–65 conf_tournament
2018-03-02 2018 San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount N 89–76 conf_tournament
2018-02-24 2018 San Francisco @ San Diego 49–47 regular
2018-02-23 2018 Pacific @ San Francisco 78–80 regular
2018-02-17 2018 San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount 60–65 regular
2018-02-16 2018 San Francisco @ Saint Mary's 64–72 regular
2018-02-10 2018 BYU @ San Francisco 73–76 regular
2018-02-09 2018 San Francisco @ Portland 76–63 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Santa Clara @ San Francisco 47–64 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Saint Mary's @ San Francisco 73–59 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Gonzaga @ San Francisco 81–57 regular
2018-01-25 2018 San Francisco @ Pacific 81–71 regular
2018-01-20 2018 San Francisco @ Pepperdine 92–95 regular
2018-01-19 2018 San Francisco @ Santa Clara 58–54 regular
2018-01-13 2018 San Francisco @ Gonzaga 47–74 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco 60–78 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Pepperdine @ San Francisco 67–68 regular
2018-01-05 2018 San Francisco @ BYU 66–70 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Portland @ San Francisco 75–84 regular
2017-12-29 2018 San Diego @ San Francisco 60–54 regular
2017-12-21 2018 San Francisco @ UT Arlington 54–56 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Fresno State @ San Francisco 62–70 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Sacramento State @ San Francisco 76–90 regular
2017-12-07 2018 San Francisco @ UC Davis 55–72 regular
2017-12-02 2018 San Francisco @ San José State 87–81 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Stanford @ San Francisco 86–66 regular
2017-11-26 2018 San Francisco @ Cal Poly 83–88 regular
2017-11-25 2018 San Francisco @ Robert Morris N 57–45 regular
2017-11-19 2018 San Francisco @ Northern Colorado 60–73 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Washington State @ San Francisco 74–70 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Cal Poly @ San Francisco 71–83 regular