cbb·system

Mercyhurst Lakers

womens canonical name from espn_scoreboard prov

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.78 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.32 points per possession 0.19
PACE 72.11 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 25 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercyhurst AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.38 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025918 0.333

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMercyhurst auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-06 2025 Saint Francis @ Mercyhurst 80–65 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Mercyhurst @ Chicago State 63–77 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Mercyhurst @ Saint Francis 69–70 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Stonehill @ Mercyhurst 69–62 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Central Connecticut @ Mercyhurst 74–76 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Mercyhurst @ Le Moyne 58–60 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Chicago State @ Mercyhurst 69–76 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Mercyhurst @ Fairleigh Dickinson 45–75 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Mercyhurst @ Long Island University 73–58 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Mercyhurst @ Wagner 63–57 regular
2025-01-20 2025 Long Island University @ Mercyhurst 51–78 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Wagner @ Mercyhurst 71–63 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst 77–63 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Le Moyne @ Mercyhurst 52–63 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Mercyhurst @ Central Connecticut 52–78 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Mercyhurst @ Stonehill 54–72 regular
2024-12-30 2025 Allegheny @ Mercyhurst 52–71 non_d1
2024-12-16 2025 Mount St. Mary's @ Mercyhurst 88–83 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Mercyhurst @ Robert Morris 49–69 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Mercyhurst @ Toledo 66–70 regular
2024-12-03 2025 Army @ Mercyhurst canceled regular
2024-11-27 2025 Mercyhurst @ Cornell 63–64 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Bryant & Stratton-Albany @ Mercyhurst 43–109 non_d1
2024-11-19 2025 Mercyhurst @ Youngstown State 56–64 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Mercyhurst @ Xavier 53–68 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Davis & Elkins @ Mercyhurst 51–67 non_d1
2024-11-06 2025 Mercyhurst @ DePaul 53–74 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Mercyhurst @ Notre Dame 61–105 regular