cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.97 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.74 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.23 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.37 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.43 to 1.03 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152410 0.706

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-29 2015 Temple @ Middle Tennessee 69–57 other_postseason
2015-03-27 2015 Ole Miss @ Middle Tennessee 70–82 other_postseason
2015-03-22 2015 Arkansas State @ Middle Tennessee 60–70 other_postseason
2015-03-20 2015 Ball State @ Middle Tennessee 58–69 other_postseason
2015-03-13 2015 Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee N 65–53 conf_tournament
2015-03-12 2015 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee N 58–77 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee 60–73 regular
2015-03-05 2015 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 30–79 regular
2015-02-28 2015 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 62–57 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 60–63 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 74–48 regular
2015-02-14 2015 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 59–85 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Rice @ Middle Tennessee 61–79 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech 68–44 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss 65–70 regular
2015-01-31 2015 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee 53–74 regular
2015-01-30 2015 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 53–73 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 84–54 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion 65–48 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee 59–82 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee 77–75 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 101–69 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 75–60 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 76–68 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Tennessee Tech 98–76 regular
2014-12-20 2015 UCF @ Middle Tennessee 57–79 regular
2014-12-16 2015 Middle Tennessee @ South Dakota State 61–65 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Kentucky 62–78 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Xavier @ Middle Tennessee 68–90 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Clemson @ Middle Tennessee 28–69 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Ole Miss 71–65 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Arkansas @ Middle Tennessee 58–51 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Miami @ Middle Tennessee 48–53 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Middle Tennessee @ Arizona State 67–81 regular