cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 61.68 possessions per game 5.26

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.53 to 1.15 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-15 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Ball State 60–69 other_postseason
2018-03-08 2018 Rice @ Middle Tennessee N 61–53 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Old Dominion @ Middle Tennessee 47–65 regular
2018-02-25 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 54–53 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 58–65 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Rice @ Middle Tennessee 41–51 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 76–60 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 63–59 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic 69–65 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee 66–49 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 45–64 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 73–57 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee 61–53 regular
2018-01-19 2018 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 48–56 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Middle Tennessee @ UTEP 54–45 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Middle Tennessee @ UTSA 62–47 regular
2018-01-07 2018 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 59–51 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 43–57 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 57–62 regular
2017-12-20 2018 Canisius @ Middle Tennessee N 45–55 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Middle Tennessee @ USC N 57–72 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Tulane 44–62 regular
2017-12-15 2018 Troy @ Middle Tennessee 57–73 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Louisville 26–80 regular
2017-12-05 2018 Coppin State @ Middle Tennessee 39–69 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Georgia Tech 45–48 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Ole Miss 56–65 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Middle Tennessee @ UNC Asheville 72–57 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Lipscomb @ Middle Tennessee 48–72 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Tennessee Tech @ Middle Tennessee 44–58 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Vanderbilt 65–54 regular